2026 Rhineland-Palatinate state election

The 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate state election will be held in 2026 to elect the 19th Landtag of Rhineland-Palatinate.

2026 Rhineland-Palatinate state election

← 2021 2026

All 101 seats in the Landtag of Rhineland-Palatinate
51 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party Third party
 
Party SPD CDU Greens
Last election 39 seats, 35.7% 31 seats, 27.7% 10 seats, 9.3%

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Party AfD FDP FW
Last election 9 seats, 8.3% 6 seats, 5.5% 6 seats, 5.4%

Government before election

Third Dreyer cabinet
SPDGreenFDP

Government after election

TBD

The Landtag of Rhineland-Palatinate.

Background

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In the 2021 state elections, the SPD, led by Prime Minister Malu Dreyer, was the strongest with 35.7 percent. The CDU achieved its poor result in Rhineland-Palatinate with 27.7 percent. The Greens were again the third strongest force with gains of 9.3 percent.[1]

The AfD became the fourth strongest force in the Rhineland-Palatinate state parliament with losses of 8.3 percent. The FDP reached 5.5 percent. The Free Voters made it into the state parliament for the first time with 5.4 percent.[2]

Even before the election, all three parties in the traffic light coalition had campaigned for it to continue. The balance of power within the alliance changed, since the Greens were now the second strongest party instead of the FDP.

The SPD invited the Greens and FDP to exploratory talks the day after the election. Almost eight weeks after the election, the SPD, Greens and FDP agreed to continue their previous coalition.

In the constituent session of the state parliament on May 18, 2021, Malu Dreyer was re-elected Prime Minister and the Third Dreyer cabinet was sworn in.[3]

Opinion polls

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Graphical summary

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Local regression of polls conducted.

Party polling

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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample

size

SPD CDU Grüne AfD FDP FW Linke BSW Others Lead
Infratest dimap 11 Jul 2024 1,165 21 31 10 12 5 7 5 9 10
European Parliament election 9 Jun 2024 17.5 30.7 9.3 14.7 5.9 1.7 4.7 15.5 13.2
Infratest dimap 15–20 Feb 2024 1,157 22 31 10 15 4 7 4 7 9
Wahlkreisprognose 2–11 Dec 2023 1,237 26 27 8.5 20 3.5 7.5 1.5 6 1
Infratest dimap 25–30 Oct 2023 1,048 22 31 12 17 5 5 8 9
Infratest dimap 13–18 Jul 2023 1,156 25 31 11 16 5 6 6 6
INSA 8–15 May 2023 1,000 28 27 11 14 6 5 2 7 1
Infratest dimap 27–28 Mar 2023 1,180 28 29 14 12 5 4 7 1
Wahlkreisprognose 14–21 Mar 2023 1,000 29 25 11 16 5 6.5 2 5.5 4
Infratest dimap 9–13 Dec 2022 1,166 28 29 15 11 5 4 7 1
INSA 7–14 Nov 2022 1,000 28 28 13 13 5 5 2 6 Tie
Wahlkreisprognose 14–17 Oct 2022 1,023 26 25.5 10 15 7 6.5 2 8 0.5
Infratest dimap 26–27 Sep 2022 1,183 27 27 14 12 8 4 8 Tie
Wahlkreisprognose 2–10 Jul 2022 1,209 34.5 26.5 14 6.5 5 6.5 2 5 8
Wahlkreisprognose 11–18 May 2022 1,042 37 23.5 13 5 8 6 2 5.5 13.5
Wahlkreisprognose 21–28 Mar 2022 1,002 39 24 7 6 8 7 2 7 15
Infratest dimap 4–8 Mar 2022 1,158 34 26 11 7 9 5 8 8
Infratest dimap 19–23 Nov 2021 1,172 34 21 12 8 11 6 8 13
Wahlkreisprognose 1–9 Nov 2021 1,100 41 20 9.5 8 7.5 8 1.5 4.5 21
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 29.4 24.7 12.6 9.2 11.7 3.6 3.3 5.6 4.7
Infratest dimap 2–7 Sep 2021 1,160 40 23 9 8 6 5 3 6 17
Infratest dimap 9–13 Jul 2021 1,153 38 24 9 8 6 6 3 6 3
2021 state election 14 Mar 2021 35.7 27.7 9.3 8.3 5.5 5.4 2.5 5.7 8.0

References

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  1. ^ "Election in Rhineland-Palatinate: the success of the Dreyer traffic light". Der Spiegel. 15 March 2021.
  2. ^ "Election in Rhineland-Palatinate: the success of the Dreyer traffic light". Der Spiegel. 15 March 2021.
  3. ^ "Landtag re-elects Dreyer as Prime Minister". Südwestrundfunk (in German). 18 May 2021. Archived from the original on 19 May 2021. Retrieved 13 June 2022.

See also

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